Buy the Blood In the Streets?
November 18, 2024 (Investorideas.com Newswire) S&P 500 couldn't hold up in face of relatively decent retail sales (even if ex autos were weak) and hot NY Empire State manufacturing. Russell 2000 provided no refuge, and Nasdaq certainly led S&P 500 to the downside, overpowering mildly positive defensives' performance. Friday bucked the tendency of being the most bullish day of the week in general, even if yields refused to rise on the day.
During the regular session, S&P 500 went for the fourth of support levels given in the Nov 12 article bringing you the hourly intraday chart - this level was more than amply pierced before some buying emerged before the close.
I say some buying, because it's uncertain whether this rebound was strong enough to repel the sellers and put in a local bottom. Therefore, I'm bringing you not only the 4-hour intraday chart, but also the VIX and yields perspective. Notably, rates (non-)movement didn't result in any gold upswing, and oil as well proved it's not yet in bullish mode - but you're not surprised, I had been very public with these calls during the week, just as regarding the Bitcoin vulnerability, which is turning out as a shallow correction due to as well all the strategic reserve initiatives.
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Let's mve right into the charts (all courtesy of www.stockcharts.com) - today's full scale article contains 5 more of them, with commentaries.
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Gold, Silver and Miners
Precious metals are putting in a tentative bottom - an attempt that in itself is questionable. I continue favoring the sellers here whether we get a 1-2 days reprieve or not. $2,500 on this chart will be broken to the downside in the weeks ahead, but given that finally the bearish sentiment which I called for you at the very top to develop, is now quite widespread, it's thus favoring a retracement in the nearest days.
Crude Oil
The caption is very clear as to what to expect from oil, and my not bullish call Friday was vindicated. Even the $68 - $70 range was broken to the downside, which illustrates the immediate momentum / sentiment as much as not so accommodative monetary policy (expectations) anymore.
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Monica Kingsley
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All essays, research and information represent analyses and opinions of Monica Kingsley that are based on available and latest data. Despite careful research and best efforts, it may prove wrong and be subject to change with or without notice. Monica Kingsley does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. Her content serves educational purposes and should not be relied upon as advice or construed as providing recommendations of any kind. Futures, stocks and options are financial instruments not suitable for every investor. Please be advised that you invest at your own risk. Monica Kingsley is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading her writings, you agree that she will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make. Investing, trading and speculating in financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Monica Kingsley may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in her writings, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.
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