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Dovish Not Dovish

 

July 10, 2024 (Investorideas.com Newswire) S&P 500 was slowly crawling higher premarket again, but turned disappointed over Powell testimony - and Russell 2000 even more. Not that he would bring up rate hikes, but didn't commit to rate cuts either. The resulting increase in odds of no Sep cut went up marginally from 23% before the tesimony to 25% to close the day. Nothing dramatic, but acknowledgment of CRE issues as to be lasting for years, then the latest deterioration in the job market and necessity to wait for a good disinflationary data series after the unfavorable figures at the start of the year, took their toll.

Took their toll as in dialing back the rate cuts and liquidity optimism in stocks, but NVDA stole the Nasdaq spotlight while XLC and XLY did well - and this tells us as much as we need to know. My expectations of not truly dovish Powell (unlike his showing next to Lagarde the week before), allowed to capture an intraday short opportunity.Also the shares that I picked up in the daily analysis, they proved good candidates for brief momentum plays.

As cryptos continue their recovery from late last week (talked more on the Twitter feed back then), USD and yields are the charts to watch for signs of easy money expectations.


Keep enjoying the lively Twitter feed via keeping my tab open at all times (notifications on aren't enough) - combine with subscribing to my Youtube channel, and of course Telegram that always delivers my extra calls (head off to Twitter to talk to me there), but getting the key daily analytics right into your mailbox is the bedrock.
So, make sure you're signed up for the free newsletter and make use of both Twitter and Telegram - benefit and find out why I'm the most blocked market analyst and trader on Twitter.

Let's mve right into the charts (all courtesy of www.stockcharts.com) - today's full scale article contains 3 more of them, with commentaries.

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Thank you,

Monica Kingsley
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www.monicakingsley.co
mk@monicakingsley.co

All essays, research and information represent analyses and opinions of Monica Kingsley that are based on available and latest data. Despite careful research and best efforts, it may prove wrong and be subject to change with or without notice. Monica Kingsley does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. Her content serves educational purposes and should not be relied upon as advice or construed as providing recommendations of any kind. Futures, stocks and options are financial instruments not suitable for every investor. Please be advised that you invest at your own risk. Monica Kingsley is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading her writings, you agree that she will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make. Investing, trading and speculating in financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Monica Kingsley may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in her writings, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

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