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European Bond Yields Fluctuate Ahead of Economic Data and French Elections

Today market analysis on behalf of Milad Azar Market Analyst at XTB MENA


June 26, 2024 ( Newswire) European bond yields are trending indecisively as investors await critical economic indicators, notably inflation data from Italy, France, and Spain on Friday, alongside the impending French elections. Germany’s 10-year bond yield showed a recovery but remained within the range of the last few days. Meanwhile, the spread between French and German 10-year yields could continue to widen if risk perceptions surrounding French political developments continue to grow. In this regard, French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire warned that forthcoming elections could precipitate a debt crisis, drawing comparisons to past fiscal turmoil within the Eurozone. This contributed to maintaining French 10-year government bond yields above the 3.1% mark, underlining broader anxieties about regional fiscal stability. The results of the first round of the French election could strongly impact French treasury yields and the spreads with German equivalents during next week as markets will update their expectations and turn to the second round.

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