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US Yields Stable Ahead of Inflation Data and Fed Updates

Today's market analysis on behalf of Daniel Takieddine CEO MENA at BDSwiss


June 25, 2024 ( Newswire) US Treasury yields continued to move horizontally on Tuesday. Market participants are awaiting the release of key economic data later this week and remain attentive to insights from Federal Reserve officials scheduled throughout the week. Without significant catalysts, the 10-year note yield remains capped below the 4.3% mark, while the 2-year Treasury yield remains relatively flat. This week's Upcoming economic indicators include durable goods orders and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for May. The PCE Price Index is highly anticipated and markets expect the core PCE to decrease to 0.1% on a month-on-month basis. Weaker-than-expected data could pull yields down and could weigh on the dollar. Speculation about the timing of the Fed’s first interest rate cut remains a key topic among investors. Meanwhile, Treasury yields and the dollar could continue to find support until the Fed confirms its decision regarding the timing of its first rate cut. While a rate cut this summer appears unlikely, markets are pricing in several rate cuts starting September which could drive yields lower if they materialize.

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