Source: Barry Dawes
November 14, 2023 (Investorideas.com Newswire) Barry Dawes of Martin Place Securities explains why he believes we are still in a bear market when it comes to gold, despite public sentiment.
Yes, we are still in a bull market for gold, but you wouldn't know it.
ASX Gold Stocks
Stock Markets and Currencies
Gold continues to frustrate the bulls and continue to depress small-cap investors in a microcosm that is totally at odds with actions in other world markets.
Gold in most currencies has been making new all time highs and seems ready to run much higher.
That is what you would normally call a bull market!
But you are not feeling it. Sentiment is still so poor. The major currencies seem on the edge of another big decline. The Yen and Euro look very weak, and even small declines from here would suggest major breakdowns ahead.
Economic fundamentals ( whatever that means nowadays) are deteriorating, but stocks are heading higher and seem to want to run very hard to look over the valley and beyond the horizon.
The Israel/Hamas conflict gets stranger by the day, with journalists `embedded' in the Hamas adventure and the roles being challenged everywhere.
What to believe?
Heed the markets indeed.
What are they telling us?
Apart from yet another US$20 slapdown.
I'm still thinking about this a-b-c pull back into support.
Signs of powerful internal character in gold.
It could come down another US$20.
A lot of long-term support here.
That May 2023 downtrend is there.
And horizontal support.
Another US$20 lower would backtest the breakout and support on that downtrend.
What can you say about this after that fabulous 6% gain on the previous Friday?
Newmont hit the bottom of this wedge.
This ratio goes back to the lower edge.
Keep in mind the bigger picture is still looking positive for the mining sector.
Currencies, gold, and stock markets.
Is there a pattern here?
US$ is universally expected to crash, but it hasn't yet and just might not.
Still expecting 155.
S&P 500 Breaks Downtrend
The other currencies tell a slightly different story.
Weak currencies, strong local gold prices, and stock markets that could really surge.
Japan stock market
The Euro broke a 50-year uptrend and provided a goodbye kiss backtest before falling away again.
Closing below 105 would crack the Euro.
Gold in Euros is heading higher in a strong uptrend.
Backtesting 2022 downtrend.
German DAX is just off all time highs.
French CAC is just off all time highs.
Gold in Yuan
Shanghai Stock Market
AU$ is weak, but it is holding onto a 12-year downtrend.
AU$ gold is heading higher.
All Ords holding onto uptrend.
The 7700 resistance seems more important to watch than the 15-year uptrend.
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