Dollar to dive in 2024 as investors bet on Fed cuts
November 24, 2023 (Investorideas.com Newswire) The US dollar is likely to "consistently weaken" throughout 2024 as the US Federal Reserve winds up its aggressive interest rate hiking agenda, predicts the CEO and founder of one of the world's largest independent financial advisory, asset management and fintech organizations.
The bearish forecast from deVere Group chief executive Nigel Green comes as it is reported that asset managers are selling the currency at the fastest pace in a year.
He comments: "The Big Dollar Sell-Off is on.
"We expect this trend to increase in momentum throughout 2024 as investors increasingly believe that the Federal Reserve's most aggressive interest rate hiking campaign in a generation is winding down.
"The dollar traditionally performs well at the start of the year, but it is likely that it will consistently weaken during the course of next year as the Fed moves to ease its grip on rates.
"With the battle against inflation being won, it can be expected that the central bank will roll out multiple rate cuts in 2024, prompting investors to think that holding so many dollars is not as necessary."
The expectation is that lower interest rates will reduce the attractiveness of dollar-denominated assets. As interest rates in the US decline, the interest rate differential between the dollar and other currencies narrows, diminishing the yield advantage that has historically drawn investors to the greenback.
Furthermore, the possibility of multiple rate cuts by the Fed is prompting investors to seek higher-yielding assets elsewhere, contributing to the accelerated exit from the dollar.
"Alternative investments in currencies from regions with more favourable interest rate outlooks become increasingly appealing as the interest rate differentials shift in their favor."
The reverberations of this dollar sell-off extend beyond the borders of the United States.
"A weakened dollar has implications for global trade, as a depreciating currency can boost US exports but may also lead to tensions with trading partners," says the deVere Group CEO.
"In addition, emerging market economies, which often carry significant levels of dollar-denominated debt, will experience relief as the burden of servicing this debt is alleviated with a weaker dollar."
He concludes: "As investors bet big on the Fed cutting rates, 2024 could be dubbed 'the year of the dollar dive'."
t: +44 207 1220 925
Twitter: @PriorConsults
deVere Group is one of the world’s largest independent advisors of specialist global financial solutions to international, local mass affluent, and high-net-worth clients. It has a network of more than 70 offices across the world, over 80,000 clients and $12bn under advisement.
More Info:
Disclaimer/Disclosure: Investorideas.com is a digital publisher of third party sourced news, articles and equity research as well as creates original content, including video, interviews and articles. Original content created by investorideas is protected by copyright laws other than syndication rights. Our site does not make recommendations for purchases or sale of stocks, services or products. Nothing on our sites should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell products or securities. All investing involves risk and possible losses. This site is currently compensated for news publication and distribution, social media and marketing, content creation and more. Disclosure is posted for each compensated news release, content published /created if required but otherwise the news was not compensated for and was published for the sole interest of our readers and followers. Contact management and IR of each company directly regarding specific questions.
More disclaimer info: https://www.investorideas.com/About/Disclaimer.asp Learn more about publishing your news release and our other news services on the Investorideas.com newswire https://www.investorideas.com/News-Upload/
Global investors must adhere to regulations of each country. Please read Investorideas.com privacy policy: https://www.investorideas.com/About/Private_Policy.asp