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Bonds Get It Right

 

August 12, 2022 (Investorideas.com Newswire) S&P 500 did another daily reversal, but the bears haven't yet won. The risk-on in stocks hasn't been broken as value demonstrates, but bonds are getting the macro picture right, as they often do - the Fed is to remain hawkish as Daly reaffirmed, which would help keep real assets in check while that lasts. Precious metals proved their sensitivity to sharp increases in yields - this recognition of the tightening reality played out on the long end of the curve, not affecting the continued rate raising expectations for Sep FOMC really (regardless of the inconsistent market interpretations of both CPI and PPI).

To feel the daily pulse, let's move right into the charts (all courtesy of www.stockcharts.com) - today's full scale article features good 6 ones.

S&P 500 and Nasdaq Outlook


Even if S&P 500 pushes higher today on better than expected consumer sentiment data (relief at the pump), the bears are likely to break below the 4,212 support next week (if not later today already).

Credit Markets


HYG is likely to retrace a part of yesterday's reversal - a proper reversal as the volume confirms while quality debt instruments would play a lesser role in moving stocks today. Clearly, bonds aren't bullish here, and the deterioration is to continue over the weeks ahead.

Bitcoin and Ethereum


Similarly in cryptos, no game changer happened, and the rally is looking tired.

Thank you for having read today's free analysis, which is a small part of the premium Monica's Trading Signals covering all the markets you're used to (stocks, bonds, gold, silver, oil, copper, cryptos), and of the premium Monica's Stock Signals presenting stocks and bonds only. Both publications feature real-time trade calls and intraday updates. While at my homesite, you can subscribe to the free Monica's Insider Club for instant publishing notifications and other content useful for making your own trade moves. Thanks for subscribing & all your support that makes this endeavor possible!

Thank you,

Monica Kingsley
Stock Trading Signals
Gold Trading Signals
Oil Trading Signals
Copper Trading Signals
Bitcoin Trading Signals
www.monicakingsley.co
mk@monicakingsley.co

All essays, research and information represent analyses and opinions of Monica Kingsley that are based on available and latest data. Despite careful research and best efforts, it may prove wrong and be subject to change with or without notice. Monica Kingsley does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. Her content serves educational purposes and should not be relied upon as advice or construed as providing recommendations of any kind. Futures, stocks and options are financial instruments not suitable for every investor. Please be advised that you invest at your own risk. Monica Kingsley is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading her writings, you agree that she will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make. Investing, trading and speculating in financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Monica Kingsley may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in her writings, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

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