Solar Update: Warning to Europe, China is ready to fight back by imposing anti-dumping tariff on USA's and Korea's polysilicon products
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July 24, 2013 (Investorideas.com renewable energy stocks newswire) Trendforce- Ministry of Commerce of People's Republic of China (MOFCOM) starts to impose anti-dumping tariff on the polysilicon products made in USA and Korea today. According to the published documents, US polysilicon manufacturers have suffered a serious blow with the tax rate imposed being 53.3%-57%. The tax rate imposed on Korean products is between 2.4%-48.7%, among which the tax rate on OCI is only 2.4%, much lower than other competitors. On the other hand, China may not have any anti-dumping actions toward European manufacturers for now. According to EnergyTrend, a research division of TrendForce, the reason why China chooses the timing to come up with the whole anti-dumping actions toward the polysilicon products made in USA and Korea is because they want to give Europe some pressure, hoping to get better result for Chinese modules shipped to Europe.
Based on the data that's recently published by EnergyTrend, the oversupply situation of polysilicon in the world still exists. While the capacity from the top five manufacuturers accounts for 60% of the worldwide capacity, shipment quantity from the top five manufacturers accounts for more than 70% in the first half of 2013. Besides, China is now the biggest buyer in the global solar-grade polysilicon market. Impacted by the large gap on tax rates related to MOFCOM's recent policy, EnergyTrend believes that there are no notable advantages on cost in the short run for US polysilicon manufacturers, which may not be seen in the Chinese market for a while. With the tax rate of OCI being only 2.4%, it will have minimal effect toward costs. Other manufacturers (such as GCL, Wacker, etc) are likely to face intense competition from OCI in the future Chinese market and will not be benefited from it at all. In addition, MOFCOM's recent policy is an obvious warning to Europe. If the talks between the two sides end up disfavoring China, they are likely to impose high punitive tariff towards European polysilicon manufacturers.
EnergyTrend believes that Taiwanese manufacturers will be the beneficiaries from the trade wars. Because the products from US polysilicon manufacturers can't stay competitive in future Chinese market, Taiwan, as the second largest market in the world, may become the next target market for US manufacturers. With most of the contracts between Taiwanese manufacturers and US manufacturers being fulfilled, future spot market may provide Taiwanese manufacturers better advantages in terms of bargain. On the other hand, due to the high punitive tariff, US polysilicon manufacturers have suffered a serious blow. In contrast to the low punitive tariff imposed on Chinese cells by the US government, it's obvious that US manufacturers have been treated unfairly. Therefore, the future focus will be on how the US government reacts to this and if they will begin another anti-dumping and countervailing investigation on the Chinese modules shipped to the US.
EnergyTrend believes that since the Pandora's Box has been opened, the trade wars in global PV market are likely to expand. The future situation among China, USA, and Europe will have deep impact on global PV market.
TRENDFORCE is a global leading research institution providing market intelligence, in-depth analysis reports and consultant services on technology sector. Our company consists of 4 major research divisions---DRAMeXchange, WitsView, LEDinside and EnergyTrend which cover the DRAM, NAND Flash, PC, display ,LED and Green energy research sectors respectively . www.trendforce.com
In the year of 2000, the company started to deliver market intelligence services under the name of DRAMeXchange. This includes the latest industrial scenario, real-time spot trading prices, market trends, capital spending and wafer capacity trends, the impact of DRAM/flash memory products on the market, and other relevant PC industry information. www.DRAMeXchange.com
In 2007, LEDinside, another subsidiary of TRENDFORCE , was launched and has become one of the most popular and distinguished information platform for the LED market. www.LEDinside.com
Green energy, also referred to as alternative energy, is the key to creating a clean future for the world. EnergyTrend, the latest research division of TRENDFORCE, is dedicated to deliver market intelligence of eco industry. The research scope includes renewable energy and its applications ( i.e. solar, battery & electric vehicles). www.energytrend.com
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Founded in 2007 with headquarters in Shanghai, AVANTI is a professional market survey company that has been a research division of TrendForce since 2012. We offer traditional survey methods (CLT, FCG, IDI, CLT, etc.) as well as online surveys. Currently, our online panel covers China and Taiwan, with exposure to 6 million Chinese Internet users, which enables us to help our clients gain a deeper understanding of the Chinese market. Our clients represent global brands in industries like consumer products, cosmetics, consumer electronics, automobiles, finance, medicine, etc... www.chinarp.cn/
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