June 28, 2012 (InvestorIdeas.com Newswire) FoxDavies reports From the trading floor The comparison chart below highlights the direct correlation between the Dollar Index and its ramifications across a number of commodities. The main worry for the short term commodity prices still remains the potential for a Dollar index breakout. You will see from the second chart attached, that the DXY is starting to creep higher once again after a period of decline. We will continue to watch the charts below tick for tick for any potential breakouts or breakdowns.
Dollar Index (Red line) - Gold (White line) - Copper (Blue line) - Silver (Green Line) - Zinc (Pink line)
(Source = Bloomberg)
The Dollar Index (DXY)
I highlighted the dollar index a couple of days ago, as an important index to keep a close eye on as any move back toward the top end of the index could cause commodities to sell off once again. The index has started to edge higher once again, and look as if it is on course to test the recent high at 83.542.
(Source = Bloomberg)
Saints & Sinners: Oil & Gas
Red Emperor Resources (LON:RMP) continued its push higher again today, adding another 5.15% to 22.375p during afternoon trading as the market continued to cheer JP Morgan Chase & Co. taking a 5.15% holding in the company. We (Fox Davies) currently have a BUY recommendation on the stock with a 65p price target.
Valiant Petroleum (LON:VPP) pushed 3% to 365p during early trading after the company said that its non-executive chairman Kevin Lyon bought 20,000 shares at 360 pence a time and now has 80,000. The shares price did tack a recent turn for the worst after the company said that drilling had been completed on the Tryfan prospect located in U.K. Block 3/17, and the well had been plugged and abandoned. The well encountered both Frigg and Dornoch sandstones on prognosis with a small gas column present at the top of the Frigg formation interpreted to be sub-commercial.
Afren (LON:AFR) pushed 2% higher to 98p during afternoon trading on the back of Singer Capital Markets placing a BUY rating on the stock with a 160p price target. The shares are a long way off of the recent highs of 140p and the low 90s have now set a decent support level for the company.
Aminex (LON:AEX) jumped 10% to 4.425p at the mid-price during early trading after the company said that the Ntorya-1 well, its natural-gas discovery in the Ruvuma Basin in southern Tanzania, has been tested and demonstrated strong commercial potential. The well flowed gas at a maximum rate of 20.1 million standard cubic feet a day--the equivalent of 3,350 barrels of oil a day--and an estimated 139 barrels a day of very light gas condensate. Small volumes of formation water were also produced. Aminex said the data gathered during testing indicates an initial reservoir pressure of 5,424 pounds per square inch. The successful testing of this reservoir will be followed by a seismic survey program later in the year to gain a fuller understanding of the extent of this discovery and identify further drilling targets.
Solo Oil (LON:SOLO) pushed 10% to 0.53p on the back of the Aminex update. The company plans to farm-down, or sell, half of its 25% stake in the Ruvuma basin in Tanzania, in exchange for the cost of its share of the work program, including the drilling of two more exploration wells, some seismic surveys and possibly a well appraising its recent Ntorya-1 gas discovery, the CEO said Thursday. "From a Solo point of view, we've ended up with a bigger share of this than we had originally intended. We've got 25%, and we'd be happier with a smaller share, so we'll use some of the excess equity to farm-down and get someone to carry out some more work for us, and add some value at no cost to us," Chief Executive Neil Ritson told Dow Jones Newswires on a call. "I think we'll probably look to halve our stake back to our original 12.5%. For that we would anticipate getting quite a bit of the forward work program done," the CEO said. Aminex's subsidiary Ndovu Resources Ltd. is operator of the Ruvuma Basin production sharing agreement, with Solo Oil PLC (SOLO.LN) holding the remaining 25%.
Antrim Energy (LON:AEY) slipped 11% to 32p during afternoon trading after the company announced that in connection with the recently completed transaction with Crown Point Ventures Ltd., involving Antrim's assets in Argentina, Dr. Brian Moss has accepted a position with Crown Point and has resigned his position as an Antrim Board Member and as Executive Vice President, Latin America. Brian was instrumental in adding significant value to the Antrim properties in Argentina and the Board of Antrim wishes to thank Brian for his considerable contribution to the Company.
Saints & Sinners: Mining
Aquarius Platinum (LON:AQP) continued its recent bearish form, slipping another 6.5% to 45.55p during early trading. The company has given a number of bearish updates over the last few months, and the market has continued to act accordingly. The 52 week high for the stock is 330p, a long way from the new 52 week low printed today at 45.356p.
ATH Resources (LON:ATH) dropped 22% to 3.5p at the mid-price during early trading after the company reported a significantly widened pre-tax loss for the first half of the year and said that annual levels of production will be reduced until coal prices recover. Pre-tax loss for the six months ended April 1 was 7.1 million pounds, versus a loss of GBP3.6 million for the year ago period. Adjusted operating loss of GBP3.9 million versus a profit of GBP1.7 million. Revenue of GBP44.6 million versus GBP33.9 million Diluted loss per share 12.8 pence versus a loss of 7.9 pence. Adjusted diluted loss per share of 7.7 pence versus a loss of 0.4 pence. Sales of 796,000 tons versus 706,000 tons. Net borrowings at GBP30.6 million versus GBP31.5 million as at Oct. 2, 2011. Production costs increased due to increased mining ratios and higher gas oil costs. Further measures will be implemented to minimize operating costs and capital expenditure. Exceptional write off of work in progress of GBP2.0 million in respect of increased workings at Muir Dean. Proved and probable reserves of 7 million tons versus 7.9 million tons. Applications for two new sites totalling 1.7 million tons submitted into planning. Trading conditions are expected to remain challenging.
Noventa (LON:NVTA) slipped another 15% to 1.9p during early trading after the company reported a wider full year pre-tax loss and said that previous fundraising proposals for development have been dropped. Revenue in year ended Dec. 31 $5.61 million (2010: $2.3 million) Pre-tax loss $54.71 million (2010: $10.32 million) Diluted loss per share 95.9 cents (2010: 75 cents) Cash and cash equivalents at year end $7.87 million (2010: $23.4 million) Development will be supported by the current additional funding being sought of $35 million. Board is exploring two options to raise this finance, being either through loan financing from Richmond , the company's largest shareholder, or through an equity offering. Proposals previously announced on May 11, 2012 will now no longer be undertaken. In the event that the company is unable to secure the new funding on acceptable terms, there is a risk that the company may lose its concessions and that it may also become insolvent, not least due to the requirement to repay $7.7 million of short term debt provided by Richmond subsequent to the year-end which falls due on July 31, 2012.
Noricum Gold (LON:NMG) fell 40% to 1.1p during afternoon trading after the company said that it raised £2.2 million pounds by placing 220 million ordinary shares with new and existing shareholders at 1 pence per share, and said the funds will be used to implement its 2012 exploration program. The Program is across highly prospective Austrian gold and precious metal assets, with a particular focus on its 51 sq. km Rotgulden gold and precious metal licence where results to date have demonstrated the project's exciting regional potential.
Greatland Gold (LON:GGP) jumped 15% to 0.78p during afternoon trading on the back of its update yesterday that said drilling results for the Ernest Giles project in Australia has confirmed gold mineralization. Four reverse circulation (RC) holes have been completed to date at Ernest Giles, three holes at the Calanchini target area and one hole at the Peterswald target area. Gold mineralization has been intersected at Calanchini. Prospective Archean basement occurred at shallower depths than expected at Calanchini; from 129 meter below surface. Archean basement was not intersected at the Peterswald area hole.
Sunkar Resources (LON:SKR) eased 11% to 4.2p after the company announced late in the session that its subsidiary, Temir Service LLP has repaid a total of $2.5 million to ATF Bank Kazakhstan scheduled for repayment before July 1 in accordance with the terms of the refinancing announced on May 10.
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