Where is the Stock Market Going in 2011?
Solar Stocks and Market Commentary with J Peter Lynch
Point Roberts, South Salem, New York – February 7, 2011 - Investorideas.com, a leader in cleantech stock research tools issues new commentary from contributor, J. Peter Lynch.
Solar Stocks Commentary with J Peter Lynch -
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Where is the Stock Market Going in 2011?
J Peter Lynch
Talk about the Million Dollar Question wouldn’t we all like to know the answer to this question? Unfortunately, as we all know – no one knows the answer to this question. But we can look at history and find some fairly interesting data (from the Stock Traders Almanac - http://www.stocktradersalmanac.com), while not perfect, certainly has a far above average accuracy.
The Dow Industrial Average [DJIA] managed its best month of January since 1997 with a return of 2.7%, while the S&P 500 [SPX] fared nearly as well with gains of 2.3%.
There is an old stock market saying, first coined by legendary market historian Yale Hirsch, "As January goes, so goes the year,"
The average return, based upon data since 1970, for the rest of the year after an up January is 12.2% for the S&P 500. Following down January returns the S&P 500 has averaged 11-mo returns of -2.1% until the end of the year.
Does this mean that the market will be up over 12% for 2011? There is no way to know.
But it is certainly interesting to look back at history and see that a positive January certainly bodes well for a positive stock market in 2011.
Mr. Lynch has worked, for 34 years as a Wall Street security analyst, an independent security analyst an investment banker and private investor in small emerging technology companies. He has been actively involved in following developments in the renewable energy sector since 1977 and is regarded as an expert in this field. He was the contributing editor for 17 years to the Photovoltaic Insider Report, the leading publication in PV that was directed at industrial subscribers, such as major energy companies, utilities and governments around the world. He is currently a private investor and advisor to a number of companies. He can be reached via e-mail at: SOLARJPL@aol.com. Please visit his website for the promotion of solar energy - www.sunseries.net
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