Moody's revises D.R. Horton outlook to positive
NEW YORK, April 14 - Moody's Investors Service raised the ratings outlook on
D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) (Horton) to positive from stable. At the same time,
Moody's confirmed all of the company's existing ratings, including the
senior implied rating, issuer rating, and the ratings on the company's
senior notes at Ba1 and on its senior subordinated debt at Ba2.
The change in Horton's ratings outlook reflects the company's steady and
successful execution of its strategy of buying less land, foregoing an
active acquisition policy, and using the excess cash flow for debt repayment
and share purchases. As a result, debt leverage has improved from the
highest in its peer group to one that compares favorably with those within
its peer group.
The ratings also acknowledge the company's enviable operating performance
(105 consecutive quarters of year-over-year earnings growth), success at
integrating prior acquisitions, strong equity base, geographic diversity,
and tight cost controls.
At the same time, the ratings continue to incorporate Horton's somewhat
higher than average business risk profile given its previously healthy
appetite for acquisitions, which its current strategy does not totally
disavow. In addition, capacity under its large bank credit facility ($1
billion, with a $250 million accordion) gives the company ample dry powder
to releverage the balance sheet on short notice. The ratings also consider
that the company has a sizable proportion of its earnings coming from
California.
The ratings confirmed are listed as follows:
Ba1 senior implied rating
Ba1 senior unsecured issuer rating
Ba1 on $150 million of 8.375% senior notes, due 6/15/04
Ba1 on $200 million of 10.5% senior notes, due 4/1/05
Ba1 on $215 million of 7.5% senior notes, due 12/01/07
Ba1 on $385 million of 8% senior notes, due 2/1/09
Ba1 on $244 million of 9.375% senior notes, due 7/15/09 (issued by
Schuler Homes and assumed by D.R. Horton in the merger of February 2002)
Ba1 on $200 million of 7.875% senior notes, due 8/15/11
Ba1 on $250 million of 8.5% senior notes due 4/5/12
Ba1 on $200 million of 6.875% senior notes due 5/1/13
Ba1 on $100 million of 5.875% senior notes due 7/1/13
Ba2 on $150 million of 9.75% senior sub notes, due 9/15/10
Ba2 on $200 million of 9.375% senior sub notes, due 3/15/11
Ba2 on $145 million of 10.5% senior sub notes, due 7/15/11 (issued by
Schuler Homes and assumed by D.R. Horton in the merger of February 2002)
SGL-2 Speculative Grade Liquidity rating
All of D.R. Horton's note issues are guaranteed by the company's
subsidiaries.
Horton's financial profile has shown substantial improvement since the
company adopted in 2002 its current strategy of eschewing most acquisition
opportunities, shifting its lot supply mix to one that relies more heavily
on options and less on ownership, generating significant free cash flow, and
devoting the excess cash flow both to debt repayment and to moderate share
repurchases. As a result, Horton has reduced debt leverage from a peer group
high of 57.5% (debt/cap) and 3.1x (debt/EBITDA) at fiscal year end 2001 to
44.7% and 2.0x, respectively, at fiscal year-end 2003. These ratios are
expected to continue to improve.
The company has an operating track record that is enviable. It has
generated 105 consecutive quarterly year-over-year earnings gains, with no
near-term end to this streak in sight. It has seamlessly integrated its
numerous acquisitions, including that of its largest, Schuler Homes, which
was completed in 2002. It has one of the largest equity bases in the
homebuilding industry, $3.2 billion as of December 31, 2003. It has
diversified into 44 markets in 20 states across the U.S., and it has one of
the leanest corporate overheads among homebuilders, with its SG&A/revenues
typically running at or near the lowest in the industry.
At the same time, the ratings consider that Horton, while pursuing a new
strategy, has not renounced making additional acquisitions, and that its
large, essentially untapped bank credit facility gives it substantial
borrowing capacity to move quickly on a potentially large acquisition
opportunity. Given its history as a very aggressive consolidator within the
homebuilding industry and the ongoing trend towards consolidation within the
industry, there may be opportunities that challenge Horton's
recently-adopted capital structure discipline. Finally, although the company
has diversified geographically into numerous large and attractive markets,
the Schuler acquisition, together with the ongoing robustness of the
California housing market, has driven up Horton's California concentration
levels to approximately 30% with regard to revenues and to a larger
proportion of its profits.
Going forward, the ratings will depend on Horton's maintaining its fiscal
restraint. Moody's would view positively the company's continuing reduction
in its debt leverage. Any action or transaction that had a significantly
adverse effect on debt leverage would be viewed negatively.
Headquartered in Arlington, Texas, D.R. Horton, Inc. is engaged in the
construction and sale of homes designed principally for the entry-level and
first time move-up markets. The company currently builds and sells homes in
21 states and 51 markets, with a geographic presence in the Midwest,
Mid-Atlantic, Southeast, Southwest, and Western regions of the United
States. Revenues and net income for the fiscal year that ended September 30,
2003 were $8.7 billion and $626 million, respectively.
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