Nanotechnology: Valuing Clean Nanotech Investments is No Small Matter
By Catherine Lacoursiere
March 15, 2006
Walking down Southampton Row in central London, a perceptive pedestrian may
suddenly discern that the air is cleaner. The sidewalk has been treated with
a nanotechnology-enabled product containing catalytic properties that break
down molecules in harmful pollutant emissions in the air. Similar concrete
slabs treated with titanium dioxide are reducing pollutants during rush hour
by 60 to 70 percent on the streets of Milan and Paris, according to the BBC.
The air purifying pavement is just one example of how nanotechnologies are
starting to be used in real-life environmental applications.
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Investors are seeing green. However, Lux Research analyst Ted Sullivan
cautions that one should be wary of anyone claiming a universal
‘nanotechnology premium.’ He notes that Nanotechnology is not an industry,
as many attest, but rather a broad toolkit that will have an extraordinary
impact on many industries, including those industries employing clean
technologies.
Nanotechnology material platforms are introducing superior properties and
quantum leaps in performance, addressing the cost and efficiency issues that
plague many clean technologies. In power devices, carbon nanotubes promise
longer lasting batteries with higher power densities. Nanofibers are sieving
out previously undetected toxins in water filtration systems. Nano-enabled
solar cells will one day compete on costs with fossil fuels. It is tempting
to want to place orders of magnitude increases on price-to-earnings ratios.
Harvard economists have even devised new tools to value nanotechnologies.
Nanotechnology portfolio managers, however, say they use the same valuation
metrics applied to other technology sectors. Admittedly, nanotechnology can
be tricky to value. “There is no such thing as a nanotech pure play,” says
Pearl Chin, Managing Director of Seraphima Ventures, a nanotechnology
investment fund that combines both the venture capital and angel investing
approach. Instead, one nanotechnology platform can have applications across
many different industries. Discrete nanotechnology products are seldom
introduced.
The relative immaturity of nanotechnologies, many still incubating in labs
or intellectual property portfolios, also poses valuation issues. While many
nanotechnology investment portfolios are picking up promising IP, Chin says
it can be a risky strategy that may leave the investor open to patent
infringement lawsuits. “Licensing technology does not have nearly the
returns as suing someone who is successfully making money from a patent
infringement,” says Chin, who focuses on nanotechnology products in use
today. Seraphima values nanotechnology companies with demonstrable products
against their industry peers.
More nanotechnology investment funds are forming strategic partnerships with
research labs and universities to access promising IP and very early stage
investments. These nano portfolios also are applying valuation techniques
that optimize the use of capital in a portfolio that includes R&D, with a
view to capturing the upside potential in emerging nanotechnology while
minimizing risk.
In addition to employing a discounted cashflow valuation, nanotechnology
investment fund Advance Nanotech uses a
real options valuation methodology,
says associate Jeff Hickman. “One key value proposition for Advance Nanotech
is to actively pursue IP protection as well as provide a business wrapper
around the technology so that we commercialize technology in a business
applicable format.” The real options valuation model provides Advance
Nanotech with a “gated checkpoint” along the way to evaluate risk at each
checkpoint and provide the opportunity to divert funds in other directions
if required.
A greater valuation challenge may be that the majority of publicly traded
nanotech activity resides within large companies today. Chevron Technology
Ventures’ vice president and managing executive of venture capital, Jim
Gable, recently stated that Chevron now viewed itself as an energy company,
not an oil and gas company, as it deploys nanotechnology across areas as
diverse as solar, hydrogen, coal and oil and gas. These companies also often
rely on the real options valuation model to help them strategically deploy
R&D capital within their organizations, and increasingly analysts are using
similar models to try and measure and value the nanotechnology exposure
within large companies.
Lux Research’s Sullivan warns that there is no universal ‘nanotechnology
premium’ for companies branding themselves as ‘nano.’ Much like any other
capability, companies will be viewed favorably in the marketplace if they
can demonstrate that they are using nanotechnology as an enabling tool to
increase their competitiveness. “Is there a nanotech multiplier or premium?
Will the company be more profitable or see an increased earnings multiple
because it is using this technology? Only if the technology gives its
products a definitive edge in the marketplace that is effectively translated
into profits.”
Hopefully, similar air purifying nanotechnology will be applied to the back
seats of London’s black taxis, which have the highest concentration of
ultrafine particulate matter, according to a recent research study by
Imperial College, London.
Disclaimer
Catherine Lacoursiere is an independent columnist for this web site. Catherine Lacoursiere may hold long or short positions in any of the stocks mentioned in this article and those positions can change at any moment.
InvestorIdeas.com Disclaimer:
www.InvestorIdeas.com/About/Disclaimer.asp, InvestorIdeas is not affiliated or compensated by the companies mentioned in this article. Catherine Lacoursiere is a freelance writer. Nothing in the articles should be construed as an offer or solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell any specific products or securities. Past performance does not guarantee future results. |